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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - September 2009
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Special Notice - Beginning with the December 11, 2009 release for November 2009, estimates in this release will be based on a new sample. A new sample for the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey is selected about once every two and a half years. For further information on the sample revision, see our website at http://www.census.gov/retail.
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for September, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $344.7 billion, a decrease of 1.5 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 5.7 percent (±0.7%) below September 2008. Total sales for the July through September 2009 period were down 6.6 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The July to August 2009 percent change was revised from +2.7 percent (±0.5%) to +2.2 percent (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were down 1.7 percent (±0.7%) from August 2009 and 6.4 percent (±0.7%) below last year. Gasoline stations sales were down 25.3 percent (±1.3%) from September 2008 and building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were down 13.0 percent (±2.0%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for October is scheduled to be released November 16, 2009 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2009
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2009 2009 2009 2008 2008
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Sep(3) Aug Jul Sep Aug
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 344,688 349,885 342,489 365,399 371,311
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 288,452 287,120 284,270 303,389 306,500
Retail ....................................... 306,336 311,611 304,450 327,273 333,356
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 93,458 92,532 95,095 97,192
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 56,236 62,765 58,219 62,010 64,811
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 49,696 56,320 51,784 55,465 58,268
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,830 7,721 7,783 8,371 8,724
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,283 8,283 8,240 9,176 9,323
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,516 6,460 7,320 7,421
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,767 1,780 1,856 1,902
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 23,342 23,399 23,679 26,845 27,113
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,514 19,687 22,565 22,827
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,662 49,324 48,949 49,441 49,749
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,322 43,934 43,683 44,245 44,549
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,504 3,447 3,484 3,500
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 21,293 21,115 21,012 20,565 20,556
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 17,569 17,509 17,115 16,979
447 Gasoline stations................................ 31,433 31,077 29,668 42,070 42,477
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 17,477 17,392 17,208 17,713 18,443
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,889 2,868 3,105 3,180
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,218 2,146 2,162 2,314
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,298 7,291 7,163 7,154 7,370
452 General merchandise stores....................... 50,013 49,573 48,966 49,453 50,076
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,656 15,592 15,419 16,262 16,571
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 33,981 33,547 33,191 33,505
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 30,054 29,686 29,432 29,741
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,927 3,861 3,759 3,764
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,317 9,498 9,413 9,752 9,779
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 24,152 24,173 24,150 24,723 24,935
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 17,518 17,336 16,905 16,930
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 38,352 38,274 38,039 38,126 37,955
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2009
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
9 month total
% Chg. 2009 2009 2009 2008 2008
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2009 from Sep(2) Aug Jul Sep Aug
Code 2008 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 3,041,924 -8.8 333,360 360,209 354,316 352,554 384,798
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,510,162 -7.0 277,506 291,655 289,465 291,226 314,306
Retail ....................................... 2,697,517 -9.9 295,813 320,519 314,603 315,534 344,528
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 95,211 89,222 86,587 99,918
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 531,762 -16.2 55,854 68,554 64,851 61,328 70,492
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 472,895 -17.8 49,249 61,896 57,998 54,744 63,687
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 50,099 45,640 44,022 50,978
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,658 6,853 6,584 6,805
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 68,818 -12.7 7,830 8,014 8,016 8,338 9,143
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,394 4,250 4,459 5,007
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,620 3,766 3,879 4,136
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 71,048 -9.9 7,413 8,128 7,740 8,226 9,199
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,425 6,079 6,522 7,354
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,703 1,661 1,704 1,845
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 219,849 -12.2 23,281 23,407 26,261 26,895 27,185
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 20,256 21,990 23,445 23,786
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 436,913 0.0 48,213 49,884 50,823 47,664 50,775
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 391,385 -0.4 43,081 44,505 45,299 42,741 45,440
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,525 3,692 3,303 3,647
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 187,432 3.0 20,569 20,672 20,823 19,907 20,165
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 17,112 17,386 16,567 16,588
447 Gasoline stations................................ 265,172 -31.7 31,905 34,123 33,466 42,785 46,640
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 144,310 -5.9 15,868 17,937 16,324 15,929 19,049
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 663 695 729 749
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,771 2,627 2,984 3,069
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 7,262 6,625 6,102 7,562
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,755 2,084 1,948 2,878
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 60,960 -1.9 6,904 8,275 6,755 6,710 8,498
452 General merchandise stores....................... 420,608 -0.8 45,303 49,437 47,336 44,179 50,374
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 127,871 -7.0 13,691 15,442 14,177 13,958 16,507
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 15,840 14,546 14,407 17,009
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 33,995 33,159 30,221 33,867
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 30,355 29,449 26,842 30,276
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,640 3,710 3,379 3,591
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 83,248 -4.9 9,275 9,434 9,485 9,686 9,899
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 207,397 -4.3 23,398 22,654 22,723 23,887 23,109
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 16,800 16,660 16,618 16,185
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 344,407 1.1 37,547 39,690 39,713 37,020 40,270
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2009
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Sep Aug
2009 2009
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug
Code 2009 2008 2009 2008
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -1.5 -5.7 +2.2 -5.8
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.5 -4.9 +1.0 -6.3
Retail .................................. -1.7 -6.4 +2.4 -6.5
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -10.4 -9.3 +7.8 -3.2
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -11.8 -10.4 +8.8 -3.3
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +1.4 -6.5 -0.8 -11.5
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... 0.0 -9.7 +0.5 -11.2
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -0.2 -13.0 -1.2 -13.7
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.7 +0.4 +0.8 -0.9
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.9 +0.2 +0.6 -1.4
446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.8 +3.5 +0.5 +2.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.1 -25.3 +4.7 -26.8
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.5 -1.3 +1.1 -5.7
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.1 +2.0 +1.8 -1.1
452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.9 +1.1 +1.2 -1.0
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.4 -3.7 +1.1 -5.9
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.9 -4.5 +0.9 -2.9
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.1 -2.3 +0.1 -3.1
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.2 +0.6 +0.6 +0.8
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2009
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Sep Aug
2009 2009
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug
Code 2009 2008 2009 2008
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -7.5 -5.4 +1.7 -6.4
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -4.9 -4.7 +0.8 -7.2
Retail .................................. -7.7 -6.3 +1.9 -7.0
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -18.5 -8.9 +5.7 -2.7
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -20.4 -10.0 +6.7 -2.8
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -2.3 -6.1 0.0 -12.3
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -8.8 -9.9 +5.0 -11.6
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -0.5 -13.4 -10.9 -13.9
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -3.3 +1.2 -1.8 -1.8
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -3.2 +0.8 -1.8 -2.1
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -0.5 +3.3 -0.7 +2.5
447 Gasoline stations................................ -6.5 -25.4 +2.0 -26.8
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -11.5 -0.4 +9.9 -5.8
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -16.6 +2.9 +22.5 -2.6
452 General merchandise stores....................... -8.4 +2.5 +4.4 -1.9
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -11.3 -1.9 +8.9 -6.5
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.7 -4.2 -0.5 -4.7
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +3.3 -2.0 -0.3 -2.0
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -5.4 +1.4 -0.1 -1.4
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--SEPTEMBER 2009 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.