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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - November 2009
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Special Notice - The advance estimates in this report are the first estimates from a new sample. The new sample for the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey is selected about once every two and a half years. For further information on the sample revision, see our website at http://www.census.gov/retail.
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $352.1 billion, an increase of 1.3 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 1.9 percent (±0.5%) above November 2008. Total sales for the September through November 2009 period were down 2.1 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The September to October 2009 percent change was revised from +1.4 percent (±0.5%) to +1.1 percent (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 1.4 percent (±0.5%) from October 2009 and 2.2 percent (±0.5%) above last year. Building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were down 9.3 percent (±1.8%) from November 2008, but gasoline stations sales were up 8.9% (±1.3%) from last year.
The scheduled release dates for 2010 are as follows: January 14, February 11, March 12, April 14, May 14, June 11, July 14, August 13, September 14, October 15, November 15, December 14.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for December is scheduled to be released January 14, 2010 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2009
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2009 2009 2009 2008 2008
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Nov(3) Oct Sep Nov Oct
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 352,073 347,605 343,687 345,508 354,744
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 292,145 288,608 288,582 288,499 296,904
Retail ....................................... 314,086 309,791 305,865 307,463 316,793
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 94,390 94,132 94,547 94,131
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 59,928 58,997 55,105 57,009 57,840
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 53,673 52,639 48,764 50,313 51,263
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,587 7,644 7,759 8,235 8,351
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,755 8,519 8,491 9,067 9,013
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,701 6,663 7,190 7,114
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,818 1,828 1,877 1,899
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 23,183 22,847 23,259 25,559 26,656
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,214 19,606 21,346 22,432
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,974 49,497 49,506 49,352 49,452
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,647 44,202 44,197 44,150 44,208
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,500 3,491 3,496 3,512
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 21,459 21,394 21,404 20,698 20,621
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 17,768 17,756 17,158 17,101
447 Gasoline stations................................ 33,303 31,411 31,568 30,588 37,210
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 17,480 17,596 17,630 17,316 17,295
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,949 2,931 2,994 2,993
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,132 2,177 2,159 2,143
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,194 7,174 7,282 7,182 7,018
452 General merchandise stores....................... 50,562 50,178 49,749 49,650 49,296
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,749 15,647 15,606 16,521 16,120
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 34,531 34,143 33,129 33,176
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 30,516 30,164 29,431 29,454
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,015 3,979 3,698 3,722
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,429 9,601 9,539 9,455 9,735
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 25,232 24,933 24,573 23,352 24,306
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 17,996 17,924 16,246 16,822
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 37,987 37,814 37,822 38,045 37,951
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2009
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
11 month total
% Chg. 2009 2009 2009 2008 2008
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2009 from Nov(2) Oct Sep Nov Oct
Code 2008 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 3,728,012 -7.4 344,966 344,797 330,411 338,788 352,479
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 3,089,307 -6.0 293,316 288,003 276,159 289,976 296,500
Retail ....................................... 3,310,288 -8.3 309,296 306,151 293,459 302,569 314,224
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 91,120 85,896 103,191 90,452
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 638,705 -13.6 51,650 56,794 54,252 48,812 55,979
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 567,540 -14.9 45,783 50,112 47,886 42,565 49,007
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 40,145 37,141 34,435 39,063
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,682 6,366 6,247 6,972
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 84,438 -12.1 8,027 7,667 7,782 8,754 8,393
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,168 4,287 4,469 4,359
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,499 3,495 4,285 4,034
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 88,727 -8.7 10,029 7,501 7,559 10,325 7,988
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,830 5,883 8,204 6,218
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,671 1,676 2,121 1,770
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 264,520 -12.2 21,471 23,265 23,208 23,230 27,676
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 20,079 20,351 19,830 23,912
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 535,617 0.0 49,239 49,810 48,025 49,296 49,403
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 479,531 -0.3 43,933 44,467 42,915 44,062 44,164
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,559 3,376 3,548 3,516
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 229,658 3.2 20,708 21,437 20,698 19,808 20,786
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 17,963 17,241 16,403 17,392
447 Gasoline stations................................ 327,932 -27.8 30,772 32,290 31,663 28,049 38,326
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 180,515 -4.5 18,701 17,388 15,950 18,858 16,860
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 752 702 817 764
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,970 2,817 3,210 3,002
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 7,123 6,140 7,869 6,660
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,081 1,994 2,181 2,064
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 74,674 -1.4 7,345 6,349 6,903 7,441 6,190
452 General merchandise stores....................... 523,708 -0.5 55,419 48,763 44,472 54,778 47,705
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 161,374 -6.5 18,645 15,011 13,539 19,569 15,487
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 15,453 13,889 20,196 15,972
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 33,752 30,933 35,209 32,218
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 29,753 27,268 31,197 28,511
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,999 3,665 4,012 3,707
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 102,375 -3.9 9,024 9,940 9,449 9,065 9,984
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 259,419 -2.4 26,911 24,947 23,498 24,153 24,934
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 17,816 17,279 16,993 17,091
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 417,724 0.6 35,670 38,646 36,952 36,219 38,255
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2009
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Nov Oct
2009 2009
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct
Code 2009 2008 2009 2008
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.3 +1.9 +1.1 -2.0
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +1.2 +1.3 0.0 -2.8
Retail .................................. +1.4 +2.2 +1.3 -2.2
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +1.6 +5.1 +7.1 +2.0
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +2.0 +6.7 +7.9 +2.7
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.7 -7.9 -1.5 -8.5
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +2.8 -3.4 +0.3 -5.5
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +1.5 -9.3 -1.8 -14.3
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +1.0 +1.3 0.0 +0.1
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +1.0 +1.1 0.0 0.0
446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.3 +3.7 0.0 +3.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ +6.0 +8.9 -0.5 -15.6
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.7 +0.9 -0.2 +1.7
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.3 +0.2 -1.5 +2.2
452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.8 +1.8 +0.9 +1.8
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.7 -4.7 +0.3 -2.9
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.8 -0.3 +0.6 -1.4
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.2 +8.1 +1.5 +2.6
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.5 -0.2 0.0 -0.4
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2009
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Nov Oct
2009 2009
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct
Code 2009 2008 2009 2008
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... 0.0 +1.8 +4.4 -2.2
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +1.8 +1.2 +4.3 -2.9
Retail .................................. +1.0 +2.2 +4.3 -2.6
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -9.1 +5.8 +4.7 +1.5
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -8.6 +7.6 +4.6 +2.3
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +4.7 -8.3 -1.5 -8.7
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +33.7 -2.9 -0.8 -6.1
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -7.7 -7.6 +0.2 -15.9
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -1.1 -0.1 +3.7 +0.8
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -1.2 -0.3 +3.6 +0.7
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -3.4 +4.5 +3.6 +3.1
447 Gasoline stations................................ -4.7 +9.7 +2.0 -15.7
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +7.6 -0.8 +9.0 +3.1
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +15.7 -1.3 -8.0 +2.6
452 General merchandise stores....................... +13.6 +1.2 +9.6 +2.2
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +24.2 -4.7 +10.9 -3.1
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -9.2 -0.5 +5.2 -0.4
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +7.9 +11.4 +6.2 +0.1
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -7.7 -1.5 +4.6 +1.0
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--NOVEMBER 2009 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.