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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - January 2010
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Intention to Revise Retail Estimates: Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 2008 Annual Retail Trade Survey. Revised not adjusted estimates and corresponding adjusted data are scheduled for release on April 30, 2010.
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $355.8 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month and 4.7 percent (±0.5%) above January 2009. Total sales for the November 2009 through January 2010 period were up 4.3 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The November to December 2009 percent change was revised from -0.3 percent (±0.5%)* to -0.1 percent (±0.2%)*.
Retail trade sales were up 0.5 percent (±0.5%)* from December 2009 and 5.3 percent (±0.5%) above last year. Gasoline stations sales were up 29.0 percent (±1.5%) from January 2009 and nonstore retailers sales were up 12.4 percent (±1.7%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for February is scheduled to be released March 12, 2010 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2010
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2010 2009 2009 2009 2008
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jan(3) Dec Nov Jan Dec
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 355,777 354,085 354,467 339,778 335,498
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 295,451 293,759 294,214 282,584 279,417
Retail ....................................... 317,573 316,117 316,424 301,722 297,634
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 93,908 94,802 93,979 92,631
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 60,326 60,326 60,253 57,194 56,081
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 53,980 54,027 53,984 50,596 49,428
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,662 7,771 7,739 8,013 8,055
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,476 8,379 8,680 9,115 8,560
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,479 6,777 7,309 6,680
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,900 1,903 1,806 1,880
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 23,100 23,391 23,485 24,646 24,608
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,311 19,524 20,493 20,563
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,898 49,515 49,937 48,955 48,244
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,495 44,184 44,579 43,783 43,170
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,476 3,472 3,502 3,439
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 21,607 21,586 21,496 20,726 20,664
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 17,826 17,867 17,167 17,243
447 Gasoline stations................................ 34,708 34,561 34,252 26,915 25,932
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 17,341 17,295 17,461 17,296 16,799
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,896 2,936 2,896 2,911
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,207 2,156 2,078 2,109
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,532 7,454 7,314 7,176 7,096
452 General merchandise stores....................... 50,674 49,908 50,478 49,098 48,983
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,708 15,683 15,747 15,759 15,926
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 34,225 34,731 33,339 33,057
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 30,401 30,760 29,594 29,505
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,824 3,971 3,745 3,552
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,623 9,730 9,694 8,894 9,179
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 26,626 26,201 25,635 23,694 23,433
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 19,001 18,645 16,782 16,740
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 38,204 37,968 38,043 38,056 37,864
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2010
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
1 month total
% Chg. 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2010 from Jan(2) Dec Nov Jan Dec
Code 2009 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 323,688 3.2 323,688 408,991 347,095 313,593 387,964
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 271,274 3.4 271,274 351,279 295,316 262,237 334,459
Retail ....................................... 287,432 3.6 287,432 370,947 311,297 277,402 350,138
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 138,264 102,661 83,323 136,308
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 52,414 2.1 52,414 57,712 51,779 51,356 53,505
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 46,855 3.2 46,855 51,596 45,886 45,385 47,105
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 42,160 36,846 36,032 38,596
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,116 5,893 5,971 6,400
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 6,949 -6.4 6,949 9,216 8,227 7,428 9,521
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,432 4,322 4,230 4,542
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,784 3,905 3,198 4,979
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,982 -7.6 7,982 13,549 9,959 8,641 13,913
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 10,568 7,793 6,907 10,989
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,981 2,166 1,734 2,924
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 17,049 -9.9 17,049 21,140 21,863 18,918 22,113
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 17,766 18,528 16,497 18,877
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,011 0.8 49,011 54,040 49,201 48,629 52,275
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,451 0.6 44,451 46,791 43,866 44,177 45,372
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 4,720 3,455 3,036 4,660
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 21,132 2.3 21,132 24,068 20,765 20,664 23,123
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 19,626 17,277 17,321 19,054
447 Gasoline stations................................ 31,515 27.7 31,515 32,591 31,752 24,681 24,506
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 13,367 -1.7 13,367 27,970 18,737 13,605 26,863
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 1,131 756 618 1,165
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,069 3,139 2,233 4,107
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 10,713 7,756 5,382 10,633
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,927 2,126 1,675 2,771
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,487 5.5 7,487 12,449 7,409 7,097 11,957
452 General merchandise stores....................... 44,940 3.5 44,940 70,803 55,285 43,424 69,679
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 12,551 -0.8 12,551 26,903 18,605 12,653 27,417
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 27,548 19,092 13,035 28,238
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 43,900 36,680 30,771 42,262
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 38,245 32,360 27,670 37,058
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 5,655 4,320 3,101 5,204
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 8,467 1.6 8,467 11,621 9,256 8,331 10,974
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 27,119 10.1 27,119 35,788 27,064 24,628 31,709
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 27,039 19,932 16,379 23,654
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 36,256 0.2 36,256 38,044 35,798 36,191 37,826
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2010
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jan Dec
2010 2009
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec
Code 2009 2009 2009 2008
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.5 +4.7 -0.1 +5.5
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.6 +4.6 -0.2 +5.1
Retail .................................. +0.5 +5.3 -0.1 +6.2
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 0.0 +5.5 +0.1 +7.6
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -0.1 +6.7 +0.1 +9.3
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -1.4 -4.4 +0.4 -3.5
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.2 -7.0 -3.5 -2.1
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -1.2 -6.3 -0.4 -4.9
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.8 +1.9 -0.8 +2.6
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.7 +1.6 -0.9 +2.3
446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.1 +4.3 +0.4 +4.5
447 Gasoline stations................................ +0.4 +29.0 +0.9 +33.3
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.3 +0.3 -1.0 +3.0
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.0 +5.0 +1.9 +5.0
452 General merchandise stores....................... +1.5 +3.2 -1.1 +1.9
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -1.5
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.1 +8.2 +0.4 +6.0
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.6 +12.4 +2.2 +11.8
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.6 +0.4 -0.2 +0.3
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2010
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jan Dec
2010 2009
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec
Code 2009 2009 2009 2008
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -20.9 +3.2 +17.8 +5.4
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -22.8 +3.4 +19.0 +5.0
Retail .................................. -22.5 +3.6 +19.2 +5.9
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -9.2 +2.1 +11.5 +7.9
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -9.2 +3.2 +12.4 +9.5
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -24.6 -6.4 +12.0 -3.2
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -41.1 -7.6 +36.0 -2.6
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -19.4 -9.9 -3.3 -4.4
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -9.3 +0.8 +9.8 +3.4
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -5.0 +0.6 +6.7 +3.1
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -12.2 +2.3 +15.9 +4.1
447 Gasoline stations................................ -3.3 +27.7 +2.6 +33.0
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -52.2 -1.7 +49.3 +4.1
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -39.9 +5.5 +68.0 +4.1
452 General merchandise stores....................... -36.5 +3.5 +28.1 +1.6
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -53.3 -0.8 +44.6 -1.9
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -27.1 +1.6 +25.6 +5.9
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -24.2 +10.1 +32.2 +12.9
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -4.7 +0.2 +6.3 +0.6
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JANUARY 2010 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.