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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - February 2010
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Intention to Revise Retail Estimates: Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 2008 Annual Retail Trade Survey. Revised not adjusted estimates and corresponding adjusted data are scheduled for release on April 30, 2010.
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $355.5 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month and 3.9 percent (±0.5%) above February 2009. Total sales for the December 2009 through February 2010 period were up 4.5 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The December 2009 to January 2010 percent change was revised from +0.5 percent (±0.5%)* to +0.1 percent (±0.3%)*.
Retail trade sales were up 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from January 2010 and 4.4 percent (±0.5%) above last year. Gasoline stations sales were up 24.0 percent (±1.5%) from February 2009 and nonstore retailers sales were up 11.8 percent (±1.7%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for March is scheduled to be released April 14, 2010 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2010
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2010 2010 2009 2009 2009
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Feb(3) Jan Dec Feb Jan
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 355,546 354,339 353,817 342,356 340,439
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 297,662 295,288 293,849 285,640 283,159
Retail ....................................... 317,306 316,446 315,927 304,018 302,263
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 95,190 94,208 94,957 94,321
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 57,884 59,051 59,968 56,716 57,280
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 51,483 52,738 53,671 50,103 50,653
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,854 7,803 7,883 8,021 8,013
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,953 8,636 8,453 9,096 9,129
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,657 6,549 7,260 7,317
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,979 1,904 1,836 1,812
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 23,429 23,323 23,516 24,392 24,680
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,006 19,336 20,441 20,570
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 50,547 49,888 49,499 48,693 49,072
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 45,207 44,610 44,199 43,450 43,870
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,473 3,475 3,486 3,506
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 21,269 21,409 21,492 20,931 20,726
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 17,654 17,738 17,316 17,235
447 Gasoline stations................................ 34,776 34,677 34,490 28,034 26,798
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 17,700 17,598 17,337 17,827 17,285
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,937 2,909 2,936 2,900
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,198 2,206 2,178 2,107
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,450 7,364 7,412 7,222 7,264
452 General merchandise stores....................... 51,167 50,650 50,022 49,558 49,336
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,913 15,733 15,704 15,892 15,851
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 34,917 34,318 33,666 33,485
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 30,787 30,426 29,844 29,753
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,130 3,892 3,822 3,732
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,582 9,352 9,637 9,654 9,031
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 26,695 26,695 26,218 23,874 23,649
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 19,183 18,957 16,911 16,765
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 38,240 37,893 37,890 38,338 38,176
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2010
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
2 month total
% Chg. 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2010 from Feb(2) Jan Dec Feb Jan
Code 2009 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 638,470 3.4 316,673 321,797 408,925 304,056 313,593
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 534,726 3.9 264,152 270,574 351,287 252,560 262,237
Retail ....................................... 567,672 3.9 281,722 285,950 370,921 269,015 277,402
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 83,446 138,315 82,918 83,323
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 103,744 0.9 52,521 51,223 57,638 51,496 51,356
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 92,471 1.7 46,747 45,724 51,524 45,544 45,385
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 36,984 42,193 35,304 36,032
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 5,499 6,114 5,952 5,971
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 14,161 -3.3 7,084 7,077 9,333 7,219 7,428
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,110 4,428 4,296 4,230
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,967 4,905 2,923 3,198
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 16,561 -3.3 8,459 8,102 13,532 8,481 8,641
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,224 10,551 6,759 6,907
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,878 2,981 1,722 1,734
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 34,780 -6.9 17,640 17,140 21,131 18,457 18,918
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 14,692 17,770 15,944 16,497
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 94,793 2.1 45,919 48,874 54,050 44,201 48,629
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 85,887 2.3 41,455 44,432 46,807 39,800 44,177
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,949 4,733 2,897 3,036
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 41,080 1.4 20,142 20,938 23,985 19,843 20,664
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 17,372 19,547 16,485 17,321
447 Gasoline stations................................ 61,289 26.4 29,664 31,625 32,593 23,801 24,681
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 28,621 0.3 15,005 13,616 27,969 14,930 13,605
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 589 1,133 589 618
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,226 4,082 2,343 2,233
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 5,093 10,737 5,687 5,382
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,717 2,910 1,930 1,675
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 13,125 2.3 5,930 7,195 12,408 5,727 7,097
452 General merchandise stores....................... 89,847 3.2 45,313 44,534 70,799 43,640 43,424
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 25,658 -0.5 13,186 12,472 26,903 13,127 12,653
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 12,783 27,548 13,495 13,035
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 32,062 43,896 30,513 30,771
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 28,663 38,245 27,188 27,670
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,399 5,651 3,325 3,101
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 16,843 -0.3 8,512 8,331 11,603 8,570 8,331
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 52,828 11.7 25,533 27,295 35,880 22,650 24,628
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 18,416 27,089 15,118 16,379
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 70,798 -0.6 34,951 35,847 38,004 35,041 36,191
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2010
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Feb Jan
2010 2010
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jan Feb Dec Jan
Code 2010 2009 2009 2009
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.3 +3.9 +0.1 +4.1
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.8 +4.2 +0.5 +4.3
Retail .................................. +0.3 +4.4 +0.2 +4.7
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -2.0 +2.1 -1.5 +3.1
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -2.4 +2.8 -1.7 +4.1
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.7 -2.1 -1.0 -2.6
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +3.7 -1.6 +2.2 -5.4
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.5 -3.9 -0.8 -5.5
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +1.3 +3.8 +0.8 +1.7
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +1.3 +4.0 +0.9 +1.7
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -0.7 +1.6 -0.4 +3.3
447 Gasoline stations................................ +0.3 +24.0 +0.5 +29.4
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.6 -0.7 +1.5 +1.8
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.2 +3.2 -0.6 +1.4
452 General merchandise stores....................... +1.0 +3.2 +1.3 +2.7
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +1.1 +0.1 +0.2 -0.7
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +2.5 -0.7 -3.0 +3.6
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 0.0 +11.8 +1.8 +12.9
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.9 -0.3 0.0 -0.7
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2010
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Feb Jan
2010 2010
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jan Feb Dec Jan
Code 2010 2009 2009 2009
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -1.6 +4.1 -21.3 +2.6
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -2.4 +4.6 -23.0 +3.2
Retail .................................. -1.5 +4.7 -22.9 +3.1
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +2.5 +2.0 -11.1 -0.3
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +2.2 +2.6 -11.3 +0.7
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.1 -1.9 -24.2 -4.7
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +4.4 -0.3 -40.1 -6.2
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +2.9 -4.4 -18.9 -9.4
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -6.0 +3.9 -9.6 +0.5
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -6.7 +4.2 -5.1 +0.6
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -3.8 +1.5 -12.7 +1.3
447 Gasoline stations................................ -6.2 +24.6 -3.0 +28.1
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +10.2 +0.5 -51.3 +0.1
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -17.6 +3.5 -42.0 +1.4
452 General merchandise stores....................... +1.7 +3.8 -37.1 +2.6
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +5.7 +0.4 -53.6 -1.4
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +2.2 -0.7 -28.2 0.0
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -6.5 +12.7 -23.9 +10.8
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -2.5 -0.3 -5.7 -1.0
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--FEBRUARY 2010 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.