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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - SEPTEMBER 2010
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The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for September, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $367.7 billion, an increase of 0.6 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 7.3 percent (±0.7%) above September 2009. Total sales for the July through September 2010 period were up 5.7 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The July to August 2010 percent change was revised from +0.4 percent (±0.5%)* to +0.7 percent (±0.3%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.7 percent (±0.5%) from August 2010, and 7.7 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Auto and other motor vehicle dealers sales were up 19.0 percent (±2.6%) from September 2009 and nonstore retailers sales were up 14.4 percent (±3.1%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for October is scheduled to be released November 15, 2010 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2010
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2010 2010 2010 2009 2009
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Sep(3) Aug Jul Sep Aug
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 367,670 365,403 362,829 342,540 351,128
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 304,336 303,052 300,140 288,823 287,815
Retail ....................................... 327,835 325,669 323,473 304,417 312,940
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 95,665 95,331 93,205 92,923
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 63,334 62,351 62,689 53,717 63,313
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 56,565 55,689 56,251 47,547 57,093
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,665 7,627 7,601 7,434 7,371
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,724 8,598 8,673 8,260 8,219
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,642 6,736 6,596 6,621
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,956 1,937 1,664 1,598
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 23,663 23,526 23,399 22,060 22,209
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,014 19,169 19,140 19,057
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,558 49,377 48,516 48,253 47,957
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,253 44,074 43,277 43,058 42,746
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,472 3,410 3,377 3,383
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,224 22,108 21,943 21,414 21,108
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 18,771 18,597 18,334 18,146
447 Gasoline stations................................ 35,664 35,515 35,068 32,970 32,761
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 18,124 18,160 18,077 17,564 17,602
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,008 3,015 2,983 2,995
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,320 2,281 2,216 2,215
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,221 7,208 7,192 7,077 7,064
452 General merchandise stores....................... 50,940 50,919 50,650 49,669 49,445
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,488 15,500 15,419 15,616 15,701
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 35,419 35,231 34,053 33,744
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 30,998 30,849 29,989 29,755
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,421 4,382 4,064 3,989
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,213 10,070 10,015 9,324 9,308
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 30,505 30,210 29,650 26,675 26,583
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 23,067 22,543 19,919 19,799
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 39,835 39,734 39,356 38,123 38,188
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2010
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
9 month total
% Chg. 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2010 from Sep(2) Aug Jul Sep Aug
Code 2009 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 3,221,217 6.3 355,786 373,398 372,451 330,260 359,221
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,647,656 5.6 292,208 305,802 303,625 276,548 291,080
Retail ....................................... 2,866,201 6.7 316,947 332,472 330,812 292,976 319,620
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 96,160 92,202 85,240 94,276
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 573,561 9.2 63,578 67,596 68,826 53,712 68,141
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 514,993 10.0 56,735 60,534 61,989 47,499 61,660
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 49,032 49,911 37,578 50,643
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 7,062 6,837 6,213 6,481
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 66,918 2.3 7,611 7,863 7,799 7,397 7,599
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,264 4,226 4,057 4,169
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,599 3,573 3,340 3,430
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 71,845 3.0 7,825 8,258 8,159 7,400 7,969
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,370 6,352 5,884 6,429
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,888 1,807 1,516 1,540
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 217,124 4.4 23,502 24,018 25,574 22,171 22,337
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 20,174 21,124 19,791 19,705
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 436,104 2.3 48,620 49,297 50,432 46,887 48,521
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 390,610 2.3 43,501 44,074 44,922 41,895 43,344
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,462 3,683 3,269 3,413
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 194,348 3.2 21,624 21,865 21,614 20,814 20,728
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 18,433 18,281 17,876 17,692
447 Gasoline stations................................ 322,027 17.7 35,521 37,788 38,189 32,673 35,153
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 150,909 4.4 16,661 18,334 17,246 15,964 17,995
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 582 610 640 608
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,867 2,762 2,864 2,878
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 7,335 6,983 6,067 7,179
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,851 2,233 2,012 2,758
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 60,925 3.7 6,708 8,232 6,832 6,681 8,074
452 General merchandise stores....................... 432,031 3.0 46,189 50,010 49,195 44,535 49,192
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 126,893 -0.7 13,791 14,954 14,091 13,622 15,477
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 15,275 14,393 13,944 15,843
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 35,056 35,104 30,913 33,715
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 30,905 30,880 27,170 29,993
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 4,151 4,224 3,743 3,722
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 87,037 5.9 10,205 10,236 10,234 9,325 9,318
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 253,372 13.1 28,903 28,975 26,712 25,417 24,593
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 22,536 20,627 19,082 18,631
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 355,016 2.6 38,839 40,926 41,639 37,284 39,601
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2010
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Sep Aug
2010 2010
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug
Code 2010 2009 2010 2009
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.6 +7.3 +0.7 +4.1
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.4 +5.4 +1.0 +5.3
Retail .................................. +0.7 +7.7 +0.7 +4.1
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +1.6 +17.9 -0.5 -1.5
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +1.6 +19.0 -1.0 -2.5
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.5 +3.1 +0.3 +3.5
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.5 +5.6 -0.9 +4.6
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.6 +7.3 +0.5 +5.9
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.4 +2.7 +1.8 +3.0
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.4 +2.8 +1.8 +3.1
446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.5 +3.8 +0.8 +4.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ +0.4 +8.2 +1.3 +8.4
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.2 +3.2 +0.5 +3.2
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.2 +2.0 +0.2 +2.0
452 General merchandise stores....................... 0.0 +2.6 +0.5 +3.0
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -0.1 -0.8 +0.5 -1.3
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +1.4 +9.5 +0.5 +8.2
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.0 +14.4 +1.9 +13.6
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.3 +4.5 +1.0 +4.0
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2010
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Sep Aug
2010 2010
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug
Code 2010 2009 2010 2009
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -4.7 +7.7 +0.3 +3.9
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -4.4 +5.7 +0.7 +5.1
Retail .................................. -4.7 +8.2 +0.5 +4.0
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -5.9 +18.4 -1.8 -0.8
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -6.3 +19.4 -2.3 -1.8
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -3.2 +2.9 +0.8 +3.5
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -5.2 +5.7 +1.2 +3.6
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -2.1 +6.0 -6.1 +7.5
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -1.4 +3.7 -2.3 +1.6
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -1.3 +3.8 -1.9 +1.7
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -1.1 +3.9 +1.2 +5.5
447 Gasoline stations................................ -6.0 +8.7 -1.1 +7.5
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -9.1 +4.4 +6.3 +1.9
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -18.5 +0.4 +20.5 +2.0
452 General merchandise stores....................... -7.6 +3.7 +1.7 +1.7
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -7.8 +1.2 +6.1 -3.4
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -0.3 +9.4 0.0 +9.9
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.2 +13.7 +8.5 +17.8
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -5.1 +4.2 -1.7 +3.3
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--SEPTEMBER 2010 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.