******************************************************************************* ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - NOVEMBER 2010 ******************************************************************************* The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $378.7 billion, an increase of 0.8 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 7.7 percent (±0.7%) above November 2009. Total sales for the September through November 2010 period were up 7.8 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The September to October 2010 percent change was revised from +1.2 percent (±0.5%) to +1.7 percent (±0.2%). Retail trade sales were up 0.9 percent (±0.5%) from October 2010, and 8.1 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Nonstore retailers sales were up 14.2 percent (±3.1%) from November 2009 and auto and other motor vehicle dealers sales were up 12.8 percent (±2.5%) from last year. The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication. * The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero. The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for December is scheduled to be released January 14, 2011 at 8:30 a.m. EST. TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2010 Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Nov(3) Oct Sep Nov Oct Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 378,706 375,571 369,440 351,764 347,880 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 311,854 308,166 305,611 292,352 289,147 Retail ....................................... 338,796 335,691 329,760 313,343 309,761 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 96,456 96,196 92,906 93,889 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 66,852 67,405 63,829 59,412 58,733 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 60,109 60,720 57,143 53,293 52,533 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,507 7,548 7,638 7,459 7,385 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,598 8,652 8,697 8,522 8,319 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,687 6,723 6,790 6,657 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,965 1,974 1,732 1,662 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 24,868 24,901 24,117 22,148 21,651 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,657 19,294 18,792 18,706 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 50,103 49,689 49,380 48,527 48,205 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,667 44,268 44,008 43,284 43,071 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,533 3,501 3,363 3,363 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,515 22,315 22,277 21,447 21,427 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 18,699 18,682 18,456 18,366 447 Gasoline stations................................ 38,144 36,687 36,231 34,981 32,528 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 18,823 18,324 18,108 17,507 17,620 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S) 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,097 3,053 2,977 3,001 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,305 2,305 2,178 2,180 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,627 7,459 7,418 6,793 7,001 452 General merchandise stores....................... 51,930 51,271 51,130 49,474 50,332 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,737 15,306 15,445 15,505 15,775 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 35,965 35,685 33,969 34,557 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 31,484 31,237 29,872 30,455 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,481 4,448 4,097 4,102 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,297 10,548 10,295 9,465 9,331 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 31,532 30,892 30,640 27,608 27,229 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 23,621 23,331 20,566 20,144 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 39,910 39,880 39,680 38,421 38,119 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics (2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail (3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532). (5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals. TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2010 Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 11 month total % Chg. 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2010 from Nov(2) Oct Sep Nov Oct Code 2009 (a) (p) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 3,963,860 6.5 377,547 365,514 355,393 345,700 344,716 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 3,268,208 5.8 317,636 302,860 292,368 294,276 288,294 Retail ....................................... 3,530,806 7.0 339,872 324,916 316,745 309,546 305,758 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 92,033 88,374 100,355 90,466 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 695,652 9.9 59,911 62,654 63,025 51,424 56,422 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 623,861 10.7 53,377 55,862 56,286 45,672 49,906 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 45,563 45,838 37,279 40,656 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,792 6,739 5,752 6,516 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 82,309 2.2 8,063 7,284 7,623 7,862 7,289 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 3,950 4,187 4,089 3,952 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,334 3,436 3,773 3,337 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 89,393 2.9 9,955 7,565 7,856 9,754 7,346 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,804 6,010 7,795 5,825 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,761 1,846 1,959 1,521 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 266,034 6.0 24,247 24,556 23,591 20,915 22,240 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 19,873 19,757 18,022 19,510 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 534,892 2.3 49,900 49,456 48,222 48,092 48,566 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 478,384 2.2 44,399 44,047 43,040 42,851 43,373 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,529 3,403 3,346 3,424 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 238,818 3.5 22,335 22,070 21,631 20,825 21,556 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 18,643 18,215 17,902 18,605 447 Gasoline stations................................ 395,756 16.6 36,008 37,237 35,977 32,707 33,276 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 189,056 4.6 20,550 17,742 16,550 18,750 17,400 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 713 634 689 677 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,085 2,940 3,191 3,025 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 7,000 6,419 7,661 7,036 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,174 2,111 2,145 2,099 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 75,577 5.2 8,092 6,400 6,847 7,004 6,077 452 General merchandise stores....................... 537,942 3.0 56,201 49,652 46,246 53,915 48,896 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 159,825 -0.9 18,573 14,515 13,635 18,436 15,112 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 14,838 13,952 18,879 15,518 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 35,137 32,611 35,479 33,784 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 30,728 28,488 31,067 29,694 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 4,409 4,123 4,412 4,090 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 107,986 6.9 10,129 10,804 10,209 9,093 9,761 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 317,391 13.3 34,481 29,496 28,968 29,205 26,929 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 22,298 22,118 22,006 19,681 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 433,054 2.8 37,675 40,598 38,648 36,154 38,958 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics (2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532). (4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals. TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2010 Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Nov Oct 2010 2010 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2010 2009 2010 2009 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.8 +7.7 +1.7 +8.0 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +1.2 +6.7 +0.8 +6.6 Retail .................................. +0.9 +8.1 +1.8 +8.4 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -0.8 +12.5 +5.6 +14.8 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -1.0 +12.8 +6.3 +15.6 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.5 +0.6 -1.2 +2.2 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -0.6 +0.9 -0.5 +4.0 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -0.1 +12.3 +3.3 +15.0 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.8 +3.2 +0.6 +3.1 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.9 +3.2 +0.6 +2.8 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.9 +5.0 +0.2 +4.1 447 Gasoline stations................................ +4.0 +9.0 +1.3 +12.8 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +2.7 +7.5 +1.2 +4.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +2.3 +12.3 +0.6 +6.5 452 General merchandise stores....................... +1.3 +5.0 +0.3 +1.9 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +2.8 +1.5 -0.9 -3.0 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -2.4 +8.8 +2.5 +13.0 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +2.1 +14.2 +0.8 +13.5 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.1 +3.9 +0.5 +4.6 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report. TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2010 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Nov Oct 2010 2010 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2010 2009 2010 2009 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +3.3 +9.2 +2.8 +6.0 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +4.9 +7.9 +3.6 +5.1 Retail .................................. +4.6 +9.8 +2.6 +6.3 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -4.4 +16.5 -0.6 +11.0 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -4.4 +16.9 -0.8 +11.9 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +10.7 +2.6 -4.4 -0.1 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +31.6 +2.1 -3.7 +3.0 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -1.3 +15.9 +4.1 +10.4 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.9 +3.8 +2.6 +1.8 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.8 +3.6 +2.3 +1.6 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.2 +7.3 +2.0 +2.4 447 Gasoline stations................................ -3.3 +10.1 +3.5 +11.9 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +15.8 +9.6 +7.2 +2.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +26.4 +15.5 -6.5 +5.3 452 General merchandise stores....................... +13.2 +4.2 +7.4 +1.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +28.0 +0.7 +6.5 -4.0 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -6.2 +11.4 +5.8 +10.7 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +16.9 +18.1 +1.8 +9.5 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -7.2 +4.2 +5.0 +4.2 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--NOVEMBER 2010 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.