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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - JANUARY 2011
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Intention to Revise Retail Estimates: Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 2009 Annual Retail Trade Survey. Revised not adjusted estimates and corresponding adjusted data are scheduled for release on April 19, 2011.
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $381.6 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month, and 7.8 percent (±0.7%) above January 2010. Total sales for the November 2010 through January 2011 period were up 7.6 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The November to December 2010 percent change was revised from +0.6 percent (±0.5%) to +0.5 percent (±0.3%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.5 percent (±0.5%)* from December 2010, and 8.3 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Auto and other motor vehicle dealers sales were up 16.7 percent (±2.3%) from January 2010 and nonstore retailers sales were up 13.5 percent (±3.1%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for February is scheduled to be released March 11, 2011 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2011
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2011 2010 2010 2010 2009
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jan(3) Dec Nov Jan Dec
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 381,565 380,275 378,301 354,073 353,255
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 312,733 311,776 310,828 294,604 293,575
Retail ....................................... 342,018 340,442 338,393 315,775 315,024
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 96,415 97,270 94,205 93,458
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 68,832 68,499 67,473 59,469 59,680
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 62,158 61,772 60,775 53,266 53,529
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,568 7,591 7,592 7,502 7,558
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,436 8,414 8,492 8,461 8,307
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,478 6,573 6,638 6,585
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,936 1,919 1,823 1,722
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 24,227 24,954 24,515 22,282 22,167
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,908 19,554 18,556 18,649
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 50,296 49,666 50,014 48,228 48,443
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,933 44,315 44,601 43,055 43,190
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,459 3,511 3,382 3,407
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,754 22,644 22,482 21,384 21,421
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 18,959 18,918 18,283 18,304
447 Gasoline stations................................ 39,469 38,926 38,227 35,225 35,219
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 18,328 18,381 18,647 17,721 17,440
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,108 3,127 3,017 2,936
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,331 2,341 2,241 2,232
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,386 7,482 7,495 7,168 7,086
452 General merchandise stores....................... 51,745 51,358 51,804 50,194 49,936
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,499 15,428 15,738 15,628 15,624
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 35,930 36,066 34,566 34,312
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 31,631 31,623 30,345 30,256
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,299 4,443 4,221 4,056
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,353 10,296 10,243 9,399 9,571
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 32,624 32,231 31,409 28,742 28,196
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 24,168 23,834 21,287 20,975
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 39,547 39,833 39,908 38,298 38,231
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2011
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
1 month total
% Chg. 2011 2010 2010 2010 2009
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2011 from Jan(2) Dec Nov Jan Dec
Code 2010 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 344,244 7.1 344,244 440,247 376,326 321,550 408,576
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 285,104 5.4 285,104 374,283 316,172 270,535 351,276
Retail ....................................... 307,505 7.7 307,505 400,095 338,533 285,435 370,345
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 141,745 105,664 82,496 136,746
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 59,140 15.9 59,140 65,964 60,154 51,015 57,300
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 53,394 17.0 53,394 59,486 53,664 45,649 51,334
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 50,231 44,130 37,378 42,689
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,478 6,490 5,366 5,966
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 6,751 -0.2 6,751 9,086 8,177 6,767 8,986
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,301 4,259 3,922 4,192
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,785 3,918 2,845 4,794
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,844 -0.7 7,844 13,377 9,813 7,899 13,252
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 10,359 7,631 6,213 10,555
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,018 2,182 1,686 2,697
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 17,466 6.9 17,466 22,624 23,925 16,345 20,228
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 18,355 19,495 14,195 17,269
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,386 3.6 49,386 54,605 49,721 47,659 52,906
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,978 3.8 44,978 47,196 44,244 43,313 45,738
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 4,722 3,550 2,854 4,583
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,253 6.2 22,253 25,316 22,167 20,956 23,820
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 21,044 18,767 18,009 20,208
447 Gasoline stations................................ 36,588 12.2 36,588 37,758 35,895 32,618 33,599
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 13,844 1.8 13,844 29,443 20,372 13,605 27,955
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 1,122 754 531 1,033
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,432 3,377 2,278 4,149
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 11,382 8,381 4,990 10,582
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 3,098 2,322 1,732 2,935
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,002 0.4 7,002 12,539 7,922 6,974 11,762
452 General merchandise stores....................... 45,530 2.7 45,530 72,859 56,075 44,319 70,475
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 12,318 -0.9 12,318 26,839 18,570 12,429 26,762
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 27,441 19,010 12,707 27,375
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 46,020 37,505 31,890 43,713
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 39,950 32,698 28,433 37,941
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 6,070 4,807 3,457 5,772
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 8,719 6.4 8,719 12,187 10,181 8,198 11,424
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 32,982 13.4 32,982 44,337 34,131 29,080 38,638
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 34,440 26,384 20,201 29,826
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 36,739 1.7 36,739 40,152 37,793 36,115 38,231
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2011
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jan Dec
2011 2010
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec
Code 2010 2010 2010 2009
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.3 +7.8 +0.5 +7.6
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.3 +6.2 +0.3 +6.2
Retail .................................. +0.5 +8.3 +0.6 +8.1
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +0.5 +15.7 +1.5 +14.8
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +0.6 +16.7 +1.6 +15.4
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.3 +0.9 0.0 +0.4
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.3 -0.3 -0.9 +1.3
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -2.9 +8.7 +1.8 +12.6
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +1.3 +4.3 -0.7 +2.5
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +1.4 +4.4 -0.6 +2.6
446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.5 +6.4 +0.7 +5.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.4 +12.0 +1.8 +10.5
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.3 +3.4 -1.4 +5.4
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -1.3 +3.0 -0.2 +5.6
452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.8 +3.1 -0.9 +2.8
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.5 -0.8 -2.0 -1.3
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +0.6 +10.2 +0.5 +7.6
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.2 +13.5 +2.6 +14.3
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.7 +3.3 -0.2 +4.2
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2011
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jan Dec
2011 2010
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec
Code 2010 2010 2010 2009
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -21.8 +7.1 +17.0 +7.8
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -23.8 +5.4 +18.4 +6.5
Retail .................................. -23.1 +7.7 +18.2 +8.0
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -10.3 +15.9 +9.7 +15.1
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -10.2 +17.0 +10.8 +15.9
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -25.7 -0.2 +11.1 +1.1
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -41.4 -0.7 +36.3 +0.9
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -22.8 +6.9 -5.4 +11.8
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -9.6 +3.6 +9.8 +3.2
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -4.7 +3.8 +6.7 +3.2
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -12.1 +6.2 +14.2 +6.3
447 Gasoline stations................................ -3.1 +12.2 +5.2 +12.4
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -53.0 +1.8 +44.5 +5.3
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -44.2 +0.4 +58.3 +6.6
452 General merchandise stores....................... -37.5 +2.7 +29.9 +3.4
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -54.1 -0.9 +44.5 +0.3
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -28.5 +6.4 +19.7 +6.7
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -25.6 +13.4 +29.9 +14.7
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -8.5 +1.7 +6.2 +5.0
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JANUARY 2011 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.