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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - FEBRUARY 2011
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Intention to Revise Retail Estimates: Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 2009 Annual Retail Trade Survey. Revised not adjusted estimates and corresponding adjusted estimates are scheduled for release on April 29, 2011.
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $387.1 billion, an increase of 1.0 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 8.9 percent (±0.7%) above February 2010. Total sales for the December 2010 through February 2011 period were up 8.2 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The December 2010 to January 2011 percent change was revised from +0.3 percent (±0.5%)* to +0.7 percent (±0.3%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.9 percent (±0.5%) from January 2011, and 9.5 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Auto and other motor vehicle dealers sales were up 25.9 percent (±2.5%) from February 2010 and gasoline stations sales were up 12.9 percent (±1.7%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for March is scheduled to be released April 13, 2011 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2011
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2011 2011 2010 2010 2010
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Feb(3) Jan Dec Feb Jan
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 387,123 383,398 380,683 355,570 354,736
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 315,697 313,554 311,668 297,852 294,820
Retail ....................................... 346,630 343,377 340,694 316,565 316,479
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 96,549 96,219 95,271 94,417
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 71,426 69,844 69,015 57,718 59,916
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 64,727 63,225 62,285 51,401 53,705
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,394 7,457 7,568 7,706 7,527
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,474 8,399 8,412 8,661 8,504
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,499 6,487 6,845 6,659
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,900 1,925 1,816 1,845
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 24,835 24,687 25,013 22,384 22,227
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 19,565 19,899 18,608 18,507
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 50,694 50,403 49,687 49,023 48,438
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 45,231 45,024 44,338 43,709 43,270
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,520 3,459 3,455 3,362
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,684 22,762 22,624 21,532 21,318
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 19,122 19,024 18,272 18,136
447 Gasoline stations................................ 39,971 39,413 38,915 35,396 35,225
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 18,615 18,475 18,316 17,938 17,731
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,036 3,095 3,029 3,025
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,330 2,327 2,281 2,241
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,523 7,423 7,495 7,166 7,168
452 General merchandise stores....................... 51,980 51,599 51,261 50,655 50,315
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,499 15,342 15,403 15,802 15,712
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 36,257 35,858 34,853 34,603
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 31,811 31,514 30,582 30,377
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,446 4,344 4,271 4,226
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,505 10,301 10,246 9,508 9,462
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 32,529 32,614 32,142 28,878 28,648
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 24,224 24,041 21,459 21,242
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 40,493 40,021 39,989 39,005 38,257
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2011
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
2 month total
% Chg. 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2011 from Feb(2) Jan Dec Feb Jan
Code 2010 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 692,000 8.2 346,785 345,215 439,431 317,961 321,550
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 566,873 5.9 281,091 285,782 373,523 264,903 270,535
Retail ....................................... 617,405 8.8 309,450 307,955 399,322 281,998 285,435
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 83,489 141,115 83,866 82,496
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 125,127 20.2 65,694 59,433 65,908 53,058 51,015
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 113,419 21.9 59,678 53,741 59,420 47,392 45,649
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 44,436 50,162 37,442 37,378
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 5,692 6,488 5,666 5,366
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 13,284 -3.1 6,662 6,622 9,104 6,935 6,767
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 3,754 4,296 4,086 3,922
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,868 4,808 2,849 2,845
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 15,817 -1.7 8,062 7,755 13,372 8,198 7,899
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,018 10,367 6,516 6,213
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,737 3,005 1,682 1,686
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 36,044 9.3 18,213 17,831 22,617 16,625 16,345
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 14,850 18,347 14,235 14,195
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 95,759 3.5 46,477 49,282 54,649 44,829 47,659
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 86,683 3.6 41,839 44,844 47,220 40,343 43,313
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,936 4,725 2,895 2,854
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 43,788 6.0 21,436 22,352 25,271 20,369 20,956
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 18,931 21,041 17,304 18,009
447 Gasoline stations................................ 71,391 12.8 34,855 36,536 37,748 30,653 32,618
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 29,892 3.6 15,905 13,987 29,260 15,240 13,605
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 551 1,114 526 531
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,250 4,416 2,426 2,278
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 5,197 11,309 5,607 4,990
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,771 3,079 2,067 1,732
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 12,987 2.9 5,943 7,044 12,501 5,647 6,974
452 General merchandise stores....................... 91,703 2.6 46,506 45,197 72,463 45,028 44,319
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 24,990 -2.2 12,937 12,053 26,782 13,126 12,429
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 12,283 27,382 13,424 12,707
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 33,144 45,681 31,902 31,890
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 29,552 39,613 28,135 28,433
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,592 6,068 3,767 3,457
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 17,995 8.9 9,193 8,802 12,143 8,321 8,198
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 63,618 13.2 30,504 33,114 44,286 27,095 29,080
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 23,037 34,354 18,884 20,201
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 74,595 3.5 37,335 37,260 40,109 35,963 36,115
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2011
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Feb Jan
2011 2011
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jan Feb Dec Jan
Code 2011 2010 2010 2010
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.0 +8.9 +0.7 +8.1
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.7 +6.0 +0.6 +6.4
Retail .................................. +0.9 +9.5 +0.8 +8.5
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +2.3 +23.7 +1.2 +16.6
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +2.4 +25.9 +1.5 +17.7
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.8 -4.0 -1.5 -0.9
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.9 -2.2 -0.2 -1.2
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.6 +10.9 -1.3 +11.1
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.6 +3.4 +1.4 +4.1
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.5 +3.5 +1.5 +4.1
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -0.3 +5.4 +0.6 +6.8
447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.4 +12.9 +1.3 +11.9
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.8 +3.8 +0.9 +4.2
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.3 +5.0 -1.0 +3.6
452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.7 +2.6 +0.7 +2.6
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +1.0 -1.9 -0.4 -2.4
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +2.0 +10.5 +0.5 +8.9
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.3 +12.6 +1.5 +13.8
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +1.2 +3.8 +0.1 +4.6
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--February 2011
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Feb Jan
2011 2011
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jan Feb Dec Jan
Code 2011 2010 2010 2010
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.5 +9.1 -21.4 +7.4
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -1.6 +6.1 -23.5 +5.6
Retail .................................. +0.5 +9.7 -22.9 +7.9
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +10.5 +23.8 -9.8 +16.5
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +11.0 +25.9 -9.6 +17.7
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.6 -3.9 -27.3 -2.1
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +4.0 -1.7 -42.0 -1.8
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +2.1 +9.6 -21.2 +9.1
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -5.7 +3.7 -9.8 +3.4
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -6.7 +3.7 -5.0 +3.5
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -4.1 +5.2 -11.6 +6.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ -4.6 +13.7 -3.2 +12.0
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +13.7 +4.4 -52.2 +2.8
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -15.6 +5.2 -43.7 +1.0
452 General merchandise stores....................... +2.9 +3.3 -37.6 +2.0
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +7.3 -1.4 -55.0 -3.0
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +4.4 +10.5 -27.5 +7.4
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -7.9 +12.6 -25.2 +13.9
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.2 +3.8 -7.1 +3.2
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--FEBRUARY 2011 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.