******************************************************************************* ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - JULY 2011 ******************************************************************************* The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $390.4 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month, and 8.5 percent (±0.7%) above July 2010. Total sales for the May through July 2011 period were up 8.2 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 2011 percent change was revised from +0.1 percent (±0.5%)* to +0.3 percent (±0.3%)*. Retail trade sales were up 0.5 percent (±0.5%)* from June 2011, and 8.9 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Gasoline stations sales were up 23.6 percent (±1.7%) from July 2010 and nonstore retailers sales were up 14.1 percent (±2.8%) from last year. The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication. * The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero. The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for August is scheduled to be released September 14, 2011 at 8:30 a.m. EDT. TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2011 Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jul(3) Jun May Jul Jun Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 390,422 388,614 387,522 359,731 358,722 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 323,579 322,031 321,398 297,868 297,630 Retail ....................................... 349,531 347,669 346,741 320,996 320,045 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 97,555 97,114 93,998 93,814 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 66,843 66,583 66,124 61,863 61,092 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 60,113 59,813 59,490 55,515 54,743 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,407 7,368 7,403 7,328 7,314 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,429 8,316 8,325 8,396 8,506 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,515 6,458 6,528 6,660 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,801 1,867 1,868 1,846 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 25,047 25,143 24,753 23,291 23,249 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 20,255 19,930 19,232 19,370 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 51,633 51,380 51,138 47,885 48,191 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 46,340 46,066 45,861 42,845 43,096 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,659 3,641 3,441 3,491 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,874 22,844 22,846 21,981 21,886 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 19,085 19,112 18,519 18,623 447 Gasoline stations................................ 45,122 44,391 45,155 36,511 36,140 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 19,079 18,975 18,747 17,707 17,616 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S) 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,180 3,138 3,044 3,040 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,307 2,258 2,180 2,173 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,253 7,366 7,352 7,051 7,011 452 General merchandise stores....................... 52,513 52,510 52,262 50,634 50,440 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,456 15,581 15,398 15,401 15,481 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 36,929 36,864 35,233 34,959 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 32,296 32,318 30,814 30,570 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,633 4,546 4,419 4,389 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,185 9,945 9,919 9,311 9,389 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 33,146 32,848 32,717 29,038 29,211 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 25,130 24,990 22,429 22,473 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 40,891 40,945 40,781 38,735 38,677 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics.html (2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail (3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals. TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2011 Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 7 month total % Chg. 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2011 from Jul(2) Jun May Jul Jun Code 2010 (a) (p) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 2,660,140 7.9 392,442 396,577 401,014 368,462 364,774 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,181,664 7.2 322,532 325,830 330,944 301,375 299,938 Retail ....................................... 2,375,270 8.2 349,343 354,895 358,275 327,480 325,401 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 93,665 95,143 90,855 89,565 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 478,476 10.9 69,910 70,747 70,070 67,087 64,836 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 432,266 11.6 62,998 63,402 63,297 60,345 57,973 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 51,284 51,474 49,364 46,572 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 7,345 6,773 6,742 6,863 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 49,683 0.2 7,437 7,199 7,248 7,519 7,168 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 3,844 3,912 4,053 3,835 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,355 3,336 3,466 3,333 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 54,397 -0.3 7,923 7,815 7,557 7,978 8,007 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,131 5,890 6,215 6,274 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,684 1,667 1,763 1,733 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 175,411 5.1 26,084 30,510 31,431 25,183 27,911 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 23,374 23,478 21,059 22,411 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 352,781 5.3 53,122 51,574 52,009 49,926 47,999 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 317,819 5.6 47,638 46,250 46,687 44,602 42,924 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,677 3,619 3,723 3,484 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 157,840 5.0 22,028 22,616 22,983 21,585 21,711 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 18,875 19,303 18,186 18,400 447 Gasoline stations................................ 309,404 18.9 48,551 47,321 48,226 40,016 38,561 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 120,163 5.7 17,950 17,608 18,597 16,907 16,194 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 713 731 579 636 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,129 3,304 2,779 2,967 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 6,854 7,036 7,053 6,430 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,113 2,186 2,132 1,973 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 46,582 4.9 6,680 6,968 6,661 6,586 6,710 452 General merchandise stores....................... 346,255 3.2 50,709 51,316 52,160 49,146 48,796 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 97,001 -1.0 14,037 14,862 14,562 14,094 14,410 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 15,135 14,833 14,285 14,596 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 36,454 37,598 35,052 34,386 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 31,812 32,997 30,783 30,050 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 4,642 4,601 4,269 4,336 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 67,287 7.9 10,170 10,523 10,511 9,476 9,986 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 216,991 13.7 28,779 30,698 30,822 26,071 27,522 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 23,773 23,990 20,500 21,529 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 284,870 5.1 43,099 41,682 42,739 40,982 39,373 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics.html (2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals. TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2011 Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Jul Jun 2011 2011 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2011 2010 2011 2010 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.5 +8.5 +0.3 +8.3 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.5 +8.6 +0.2 +8.2 Retail .................................. +0.5 +8.9 +0.3 +8.6 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +0.4 +8.1 +0.7 +9.0 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +0.5 +8.3 +0.5 +9.3 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.5 +1.1 -0.5 +0.7 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.4 +0.4 -0.1 -2.2 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -0.4 +7.5 +1.6 +8.1 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.5 +7.8 +0.5 +6.6 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.6 +8.2 +0.4 +6.9 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.1 +4.1 0.0 +4.4 447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.6 +23.6 -1.7 +22.8 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.5 +7.7 +1.2 +7.7 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -1.5 +2.9 +0.2 +5.1 452 General merchandise stores....................... 0.0 +3.7 +0.5 +4.1 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -0.8 +0.4 +1.2 +0.6 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +2.4 +9.4 +0.3 +5.9 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +0.9 +14.1 +0.4 +12.5 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.1 +5.6 +0.4 +5.9 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report. TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2011 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Jul Jun 2011 2011 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2011 2010 2011 2010 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... -1.0 +6.5 -1.1 +8.7 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -1.0 +7.0 -1.5 +8.6 Retail .................................. -1.6 +6.7 -0.9 +9.1 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -1.2 +4.2 +1.0 +9.1 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -0.6 +4.4 +0.2 +9.4 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +3.3 -1.1 -0.7 +0.4 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.4 -0.7 +3.4 -2.4 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -14.5 +3.6 -2.9 +9.3 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +3.0 +6.4 -0.8 +7.4 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +3.0 +6.8 -0.9 +7.7 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -2.6 +2.1 -1.6 +4.2 447 Gasoline stations................................ +2.6 +21.3 -1.9 +22.7 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +1.9 +6.2 -5.3 +8.7 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -4.1 +1.4 +4.6 +3.8 452 General merchandise stores....................... -1.2 +3.2 -1.6 +5.2 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -5.6 -0.4 +2.1 +3.1 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -3.4 +7.3 +0.1 +5.4 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -6.3 +10.4 -0.4 +11.5 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +3.4 +5.2 -2.5 +5.9 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--July 2011 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.