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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - November 2011
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The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $399.3 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month and 6.7 percent (±0.7%) above November 2010. Total sales for the September through November 2011 period were up 7.4 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The September to October 2011 percent change was revised from +0.5 percent (±0.5)* to +0.6 percent (±0.3%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from October 2011, and 6.8 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Nonstore retailers sales were up 13.9 percent (±2.3%) from November 2010 and gasoline stations sales were up 12.9 percent (±1.7%) from last year.
The scheduled release dates for 2012 are as follows: January 12, February 14, March 13, April 16, May 15, June 13, July 16, August 14, September 14, October 15, November 14, December 13.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for December is scheduled to be released January 12, 2012 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2011
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2011 2011 2011 2010 2010
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Nov(3) Oct Sep Nov Oct
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 399,349 398,466 396,049 374,105 370,676
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 329,172 328,619 326,758 308,820 305,822
Retail ....................................... 357,488 356,499 354,319 334,656 331,514
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 99,198 99,082 96,213 94,780
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 70,177 69,847 69,291 65,285 64,854
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 63,437 62,978 62,363 58,685 58,290
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,599 7,567 7,585 7,282 7,273
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,848 8,669 8,390 8,315 8,391
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,671 6,594 6,418 6,506
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,998 1,796 1,897 1,885
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 25,643 25,709 25,361 24,146 24,411
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 20,656 20,436 19,481 19,492
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 51,891 51,980 51,637 49,627 49,194
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 46,436 46,579 46,300 44,412 44,004
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,713 3,703 3,576 3,573
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 23,136 23,157 23,076 22,457 22,313
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 19,341 19,243 18,867 18,703
447 Gasoline stations................................ 45,019 45,061 45,232 39,867 38,993
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 19,102 19,012 19,158 18,422 18,062
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,177 3,176 3,142 3,112
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,291 2,327 2,243 2,225
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,611 7,586 7,567 7,162 7,102
452 General merchandise stores....................... 53,480 53,322 53,353 52,066 51,001
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,300 15,249 15,421 15,772 15,324
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 38,073 37,932 36,294 35,677
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 33,365 33,270 31,793 31,193
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,708 4,662 4,501 4,484
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,253 10,381 10,338 9,523 9,724
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 34,729 34,208 33,331 30,504 30,196
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 26,143 25,516 23,519 23,410
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 41,861 41,967 41,730 39,449 39,162
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see www.census.gov/eos/www/naics.html
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2011
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
11 month total
% Chg. 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2011 from Nov(2) Oct Sep Nov Oct
Code 2010 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 4,228,832 7.8 397,814 386,894 382,347 372,533 361,750
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 3,481,640 7.4 334,112 320,891 315,037 313,615 300,321
Retail ....................................... 3,778,771 8.1 358,381 344,675 341,118 335,293 321,844
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 94,086 92,213 104,184 90,681
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 747,192 9.9 63,702 66,003 67,310 58,918 61,429
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 672,839 10.5 57,157 59,010 60,243 52,523 54,734
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 49,750 50,325 43,652 45,127
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,993 7,067 6,395 6,695
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 80,684 1.5 8,222 7,219 7,676 7,872 7,026
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 3,824 4,127 4,084 3,788
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,395 3,549 3,788 3,238
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 88,102 0.9 10,239 7,640 7,641 9,609 7,399
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,804 5,928 7,477 5,680
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,836 1,713 2,132 1,719
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 277,139 5.9 25,058 25,665 24,892 23,603 24,196
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 20,966 20,967 19,442 19,784
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 558,293 5.5 51,721 51,308 50,448 49,199 48,945
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 501,882 5.7 46,157 45,973 45,235 43,923 43,740
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,657 3,659 3,608 3,577
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 249,172 4.8 22,673 22,833 22,476 22,075 22,023
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 19,167 18,685 18,659 18,572
447 Gasoline stations................................ 489,773 18.4 42,138 44,971 45,322 37,515 38,954
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 195,703 5.6 20,767 18,118 17,768 20,024 17,433
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 732 693 715 678
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,129 3,087 3,396 3,100
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 7,262 6,875 8,460 7,047
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,135 2,171 2,232 2,100
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 76,937 6.0 8,075 6,418 7,219 7,534 6,150
452 General merchandise stores....................... 556,746 3.6 57,861 51,564 48,791 56,136 49,588
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 157,864 -1.0 18,204 14,358 13,666 18,532 14,503
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 14,629 13,926 18,822 14,712
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 37,206 35,125 37,604 35,085
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 32,564 30,775 32,747 30,632
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 4,642 4,350 4,857 4,453
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 109,031 8.1 10,014 10,533 10,437 9,437 9,922
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 349,999 13.1 37,911 32,403 31,138 33,371 28,779
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 24,574 23,934 26,200 22,146
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 450,061 5.5 39,433 42,219 41,229 37,240 39,906
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see www.census.gov/eos/www/naics.html
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2011
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Nov Oct
2011 2011
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct
Code 2011 2010 2011 2010
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.2 +6.7 +0.6 +7.5
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.2 +6.6 +0.6 +7.5
Retail .................................. +0.3 +6.8 +0.6 +7.5
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +0.5 +7.5 +0.8 +7.7
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +0.7 +8.1 +1.0 +8.0
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.4 +4.4 -0.2 +4.0
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +2.1 +6.4 +3.3 +3.3
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -0.3 +6.2 +1.4 +5.3
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -0.2 +4.6 +0.7 +5.7
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -0.3 +4.6 +0.6 +5.9
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -0.1 +3.0 +0.4 +3.8
447 Gasoline stations................................ -0.1 +12.9 -0.4 +15.6
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.5 +3.7 -0.8 +5.3
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.3 +6.3 +0.3 +6.8
452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.3 +2.7 -0.1 +4.6
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.3 -3.0 -1.1 -0.5
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.2 +7.7 +0.4 +6.8
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.5 +13.9 +2.6 +13.3
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.3 +6.1 +0.6 +7.2
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2011
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Nov Oct
2011 2011
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct
Code 2011 2010 2011 2010
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +2.8 +6.8 +1.2 +7.0
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +4.1 +6.5 +1.9 +6.8
Retail .................................. +4.0 +6.9 +1.0 +7.1
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -3.5 +8.1 -1.9 +7.4
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -3.1 +8.8 -2.0 +7.8
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +13.9 +4.4 -6.0 +2.7
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +34.0 +6.6 0.0 +3.3
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -2.4 +6.2 +3.1 +6.1
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.8 +5.1 +1.7 +4.8
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.4 +5.1 +1.6 +5.1
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -0.7 +2.7 +1.6 +3.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ -6.3 +12.3 -0.8 +15.4
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +14.6 +3.7 +2.0 +3.9
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +25.8 +7.2 -11.1 +4.4
452 General merchandise stores....................... +12.2 +3.1 +5.7 +4.0
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +26.8 -1.8 +5.1 -1.0
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -4.9 +6.1 +0.9 +6.2
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +17.0 +13.6 +4.1 +12.6
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -6.6 +5.9 +2.4 +5.8
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--November 2011 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.