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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - January 2012
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Intention to Revise Retail Estimates: Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 2010 Annual Retail Trade Survey. Revised not adjusted estimates and corresponding adjusted estimates are scheduled for release on April 30, 2012.
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $401.4 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month and 5.8 percent (±0.7%) above January 2011. Total sales for the November 2011 through January 2012 period were up 6.3 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The November to December 2011 percent change was revised from 0.1 percent (±0.5)* to virtually unchanged (±0.3%)*.
Retail trade sales were up 0.4 percent (±0.5%)* from December 2011 and 5.5 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Food services and drinking places sales were up 8.2 percent (±1.8%) from January 2011 and building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were up 8.1 percent (±2.6%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for February is scheduled to be released March 13, 2012 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2012
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2012 2011 2011 2011 2010
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jan(3) Dec Nov Jan Dec
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 401,400 399,869 399,796 379,332 376,487
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 329,732 327,370 329,089 312,509 310,561
Retail ....................................... 358,782 357,511 357,594 339,934 337,018
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 98,532 99,128 94,936 95,287
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 71,668 72,499 70,707 66,823 65,926
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 64,822 65,684 63,838 60,274 59,286
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,771 7,786 7,643 7,209 7,277
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,228 8,187 8,631 8,276 8,321
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,320 6,490 6,428 6,433
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,867 2,141 1,848 1,888
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 26,054 25,999 25,479 24,099 24,533
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 20,884 20,540 19,358 19,876
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 52,228 51,578 51,886 50,058 49,453
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 46,768 46,164 46,466 44,852 44,319
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,689 3,736 3,586 3,504
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 23,066 23,131 23,061 22,977 22,517
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 19,246 19,245 19,199 18,940
447 Gasoline stations................................ 44,946 44,341 45,514 41,858 41,292
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 19,183 19,181 19,077 18,220 18,083
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,224 3,194 3,058 3,133
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,356 2,340 2,220 2,223
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,473 7,395 7,440 7,164 7,263
452 General merchandise stores....................... 54,041 52,976 53,333 51,093 51,454
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,417 15,271 15,294 15,183 15,389
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 37,705 38,039 35,910 36,065
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 32,883 33,250 31,438 31,641
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,822 4,789 4,472 4,424
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,099 10,048 10,273 9,722 9,660
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 34,025 34,390 34,550 32,435 31,239
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 26,559 26,254 24,634 23,721
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 42,618 42,358 42,202 39,398 39,469
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/retail
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2012
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
1 month total
% Chg. 2012 2011 2011 2011 2010
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2012 from Jan(2) Dec Nov Jan Dec
Code 2011 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 361,351 5.6 361,351 459,829 398,441 342,082 434,288
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 298,488 5.2 298,488 388,898 334,474 283,857 369,616
Retail ....................................... 321,887 5.4 321,887 416,793 358,687 305,284 394,780
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 143,376 107,724 81,938 138,743
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 62,863 8.0 62,863 70,931 63,967 58,225 64,672
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 56,914 8.2 56,914 64,436 57,263 52,619 58,278
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 55,409 48,527 43,755 49,626
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,495 6,704 5,606 6,394
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 6,908 7.9 6,908 9,398 8,216 6,402 8,762
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,418 4,228 3,630 4,120
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,980 3,988 2,772 4,642
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,537 -1.1 7,537 12,837 9,980 7,618 13,126
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 9,941 7,554 5,920 10,190
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,896 2,426 1,698 2,936
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 19,480 10.5 19,480 23,439 24,660 17,625 22,339
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 18,963 20,294 14,828 18,306
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 50,294 3.0 50,294 56,607 51,836 48,825 53,986
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 45,833 2.9 45,833 49,072 46,327 44,538 46,889
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 5,073 3,796 2,973 4,772
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,651 1.0 22,651 25,652 22,669 22,426 25,129
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 21,055 18,995 19,026 20,910
447 Gasoline stations................................ 40,991 7.3 40,991 42,390 42,829 38,216 39,434
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,127 3.4 14,127 30,784 20,758 13,669 28,586
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 1,156 761 524 1,057
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,620 3,456 2,266 4,442
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 12,081 8,619 5,227 11,409
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 3,216 2,338 1,687 2,981
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,010 3.5 7,010 12,062 7,842 6,770 11,890
452 General merchandise stores....................... 46,919 4.7 46,919 74,201 57,901 44,805 72,404
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 11,933 -0.6 11,933 26,448 18,087 12,008 26,784
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 26,913 18,439 12,148 27,161
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 47,753 39,814 32,797 45,620
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 41,104 34,613 29,143 39,488
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 6,649 5,201 3,654 6,132
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 8,497 3.7 8,497 11,654 10,134 8,190 11,240
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 34,610 6.4 34,610 46,838 37,895 32,513 43,212
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 37,741 29,378 23,156 34,016
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 39,464 7.2 39,464 43,036 39,754 36,798 39,508
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2012
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jan Dec
2012 2011
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec
Code 2011 2011 2011 2010
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.4 +5.8 0.0 +6.2
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.7 +5.5 -0.5 +5.4
Retail .................................. +0.4 +5.5 0.0 +6.1
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -1.1 +7.3 +2.5 +10.0
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -1.3 +7.5 +2.9 +10.8
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.2 +7.8 +1.9 +7.0
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.5 -0.6 -5.1 -1.6
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.2 +8.1 +2.0 +6.0
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +1.3 +4.3 -0.6 +4.3
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +1.3 +4.3 -0.6 +4.2
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -0.3 +0.4 +0.3 +2.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.4 +7.4 -2.6 +7.4
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 0.0 +5.3 +0.5 +6.1
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.1 +4.3 -0.6 +1.8
452 General merchandise stores....................... +2.0 +5.8 -0.7 +3.0
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +1.0 +1.5 -0.2 -0.8
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +0.5 +3.9 -2.2 +4.0
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -1.1 +4.9 -0.5 +10.1
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.6 +8.2 +0.4 +7.3
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2012
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jan Dec
2012 2011
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec
Code 2011 2011 2011 2010
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -21.4 +5.6 +15.4 +5.9
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -23.2 +5.2 +16.3 +5.2
Retail .................................. -22.8 +5.4 +16.2 +5.6
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -11.4 +8.0 +10.9 +9.7
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -11.7 +8.2 +12.5 +10.6
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -26.5 +7.9 +14.4 +7.3
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -41.3 -1.1 +28.6 -2.2
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -16.9 +10.5 -5.0 +4.9
445 Food & beverage stores........................... -11.2 +3.0 +9.2 +4.9
4451 Grocery stores.................................. -6.6 +2.9 +5.9 +4.7
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -11.7 +1.0 +13.2 +2.1
447 Gasoline stations................................ -3.3 +7.3 -1.0 +7.5
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -54.1 +3.4 +48.3 +7.7
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -41.9 +3.5 +53.8 +1.4
452 General merchandise stores....................... -36.8 +4.7 +28.2 +2.5
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -54.9 -0.6 +46.2 -1.3
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -27.1 +3.7 +15.0 +3.7
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -26.1 +6.4 +23.6 +8.4
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -8.3 +7.2 +8.3 +8.9
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--January 2012 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.