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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - July 2012
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The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $403.9 billion, an increase of 0.8 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 4.1 percent (±0.7%) above July 2011. Total sales for the May through July 2012 period were up 4.3 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 2012 percent change was revised from -0.5 percent (±0.5%)* to -0.7% (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.8 percent (±0.5%) from June 2012 and 3.7 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Nonstore retailers sales were up 11.8 percent (±3.1%) from July 2011 and sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores were up 10.6 percent (±4.3%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for August is scheduled to be released September 14, 2012 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2012
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2012 2012 2012 2011 2011
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jul(3) Jun May Jul Jun
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 403,929 400,682 403,641 387,932 387,045
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 330,202 327,524 330,145 319,812 319,150
Retail ....................................... 359,857 356,946 359,814 346,857 345,897
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 99,086 99,346 97,177 97,490
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 73,727 73,158 73,496 68,120 67,895
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 66,832 66,310 66,610 61,248 60,989
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,056 7,972 8,002 7,331 7,306
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,237 8,165 8,255 8,305 8,272
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,134 6,207 6,366 6,371
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,031 2,048 1,939 1,901
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 23,684 23,456 24,006 23,439 23,526
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 20,113 20,323 19,973 19,853
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 52,765 52,600 52,523 51,453 51,311
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 47,317 47,128 47,027 46,229 46,072
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,745 3,763 3,608 3,611
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 22,842 22,583 22,921 22,774 22,731
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 18,728 19,036 19,193 19,262
447 Gasoline stations................................ 43,414 43,200 44,733 44,553 44,060
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 19,912 19,752 19,683 18,967 19,012
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,412 3,423 3,254 3,246
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,359 2,365 2,284 2,325
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,597 7,477 7,570 6,867 7,099
452 General merchandise stores....................... 52,973 52,605 52,689 52,654 52,735
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 15,241 15,151 15,253 15,399 15,647
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 37,454 37,436 37,255 37,088
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 32,559 32,519 32,793 32,615
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 4,895 4,917 4,462 4,473
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,021 9,904 9,924 9,626 9,447
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 36,629 36,074 36,012 32,768 32,503
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 28,209 27,884 25,171 24,889
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 44,072 43,736 43,827 41,075 41,148
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2012
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
7 month total
% Chg. 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2012 from Jul(2) Jun May Jul Jun
Code 2011 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 2,787,000 5.9 401,988 405,820 424,012 388,749 392,888
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,264,394 5.4 325,662 329,573 343,770 318,246 321,351
Retail ....................................... 2,478,925 5.6 356,726 360,422 378,037 345,661 351,082
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 95,372 98,022 93,214 93,161
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 522,606 8.3 76,326 76,247 80,242 70,503 71,537
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 474,073 8.8 69,238 69,029 73,005 63,514 64,099
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 56,708 60,540 51,993 52,071
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 7,218 7,237 6,989 7,438
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 53,584 9.3 7,975 7,773 8,050 7,316 7,101
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,219 4,322 4,020 3,805
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,554 3,728 3,296 3,296
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 53,623 0.0 7,795 7,632 7,630 7,882 7,752
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,772 5,717 6,067 5,957
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,860 1,913 1,815 1,795
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 173,379 7.2 25,003 27,009 30,800 24,256 28,007
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 22,647 24,672 21,071 22,791
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 364,480 3.5 53,260 53,162 54,425 53,005 51,506
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 328,093 3.3 47,790 47,552 48,767 47,570 46,256
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,869 3,831 3,825 3,629
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 159,632 2.0 22,065 22,131 23,471 21,909 22,413
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 18,260 19,531 18,406 18,935
447 Gasoline stations................................ 316,747 3.8 45,889 45,706 48,401 47,493 46,880
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 127,462 6.1 18,242 18,618 19,908 17,776 17,637
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 745 769 639 718
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,357 3,676 2,938 3,155
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 7,270 7,534 7,249 6,833
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,166 2,313 2,195 2,102
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 47,827 7.5 6,959 7,245 6,980 6,441 6,666
452 General merchandise stores....................... 352,471 2.1 50,295 51,213 52,312 50,990 51,193
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 96,454 -0.8 13,520 14,334 14,574 14,015 14,823
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 14,560 14,806 14,252 15,069
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 36,879 37,738 36,975 36,370
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 32,038 32,649 32,727 31,897
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 4,841 5,089 4,248 4,473
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 68,285 7.8 9,986 10,397 10,779 9,559 9,899
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 238,829 11.9 32,931 33,289 35,039 28,531 30,491
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 26,319 27,410 22,352 23,694
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 308,075 8.1 45,262 45,398 45,975 43,088 41,806
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2012
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jul Jun
2012 2012
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun
Code 2012 2011 2012 2011
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.8 +4.1 -0.7 +3.5
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.8 +3.2 -0.8 +2.6
Retail .................................. +0.8 +3.7 -0.8 +3.2
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +0.8 +8.2 -0.5 +7.8
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +0.8 +9.1 -0.5 +8.7
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +1.1 +9.9 -0.4 +9.1
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.9 -0.8 -1.1 -1.3
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +1.0 +1.0 -2.3 -0.3
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.3 +2.5 +0.1 +2.5
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.4 +2.4 +0.2 +2.3
446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.1 +0.3 -1.5 -0.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ +0.5 -2.6 -3.4 -2.0
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.8 +5.0 +0.4 +3.9
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.6 +10.6 -1.2 +5.3
452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.7 +0.6 -0.2 -0.2
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.6 -1.0 -0.7 -3.2
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +1.2 +4.1 -0.2 +4.8
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.5 +11.8 +0.2 +11.0
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.8 +7.3 -0.2 +6.3
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2012
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jul Jun
2012 2012
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun
Code 2012 2011 2012 2011
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -0.9 +3.4 -4.3 +3.3
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -1.2 +2.3 -4.1 +2.6
Retail .................................. -1.0 +3.2 -4.7 +2.7
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +0.1 +8.3 -5.0 +6.6
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +0.3 +9.0 -5.4 +7.7
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +2.6 +9.0 -3.4 +9.5
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +2.1 -1.1 0.0 -1.5
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -7.4 +3.1 -12.3 -3.6
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.2 +0.5 -2.3 +3.2
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.5 +0.5 -2.5 +2.8
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -0.3 +0.7 -5.7 -1.3
447 Gasoline stations................................ +0.4 -3.4 -5.6 -2.5
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -2.0 +2.6 -6.5 +5.6
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -3.9 +8.0 +3.8 +8.7
452 General merchandise stores....................... -1.8 -1.4 -2.1 0.0
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -5.7 -3.5 -1.6 -3.3
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -4.0 +4.5 -3.5 +5.0
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -1.1 +15.4 -5.0 +9.2
722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.3 +5.0 -1.3 +8.6
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--July 2012 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Ian Thomas (301) 763-2713.