ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES SUMMARY - JULY 1999 ***************************************************************************************************** NOTICE OF REVISION. Monthly retail sales estimates were revised based on the results of the 1997 Census of Retail Trade. The press release containing revised data was released on July 30, 1999. ***************************************************************************************************** The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail sales for July adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $248.7 billion, an increase of 0.7 percent (+/-0.7%) from the previous month and up 9.1 percent (+/-0.9%) from July 1998. Total sales for May through July period were up 8.2 percent (+/-0.7%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 1999 percent change was revised from +0.1 percent (+/-0.7%) to -0.2 percent (+/-0.4%). Durable goods increased 1.6 percent (+/-1.4%) from June and were 11.8 percent above last year. Automotive sales were up 15.3 percent from July a year ago, while building materials sales were up 9.7 percent during the same period. Nondurable goods increased 0.2 percent (+/-0.6%) from June and were up 7.2 percent from July 1998. Drug store sales were up 12.0 percent from July a year ago. The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys. The Advance Monthly Retail Sales Report for August is scheduled to be released September 14, 1999 at 8:30 a.m. TABLE 1A: ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--JULY 1999 Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of Dollars) 1999 SIC Kind of business code July June May adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 248,690 246,841 247,228 Total (excl. auto dealers) 186,062 185,593 185,484 Durable goods, total........ 104,513 102,904 103,884 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,121 14,970 15,215 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 11,346 11,405 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,262 1,308 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 62,628 61,248 61,744 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 59,513 58,081 58,526 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,167 3,218 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,551 13,552 13,476 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,275 6,215 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,255 6,235 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 144,177 143,937 143,344 53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,878 31,560 31,386 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,888 24,706 24,558 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 25,140 24,992 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,159 1,141 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 5,695 5,687 54 Food stores....................... 38,269 38,241 38,264 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,218 36,222 36,211 554 Gasoline service stations......... 14,544 14,375 14,447 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,364 11,413 11,459 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 1,000 980 562,3 Women's clothing, specialty stores........................ (*) 3,078 3,107 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,802 1,805 58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,535 23,625 23,580 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,983 9,983 9,810 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,252 2,272 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 7,264 7,012 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 65,105 64,955 594 1998 SIC Kind of business code July(r) June(r) Retail trade, total........... 227,982 229,878 Total (excl. auto dealers) 173,672 172,609 Durable goods, total........ 93,458 96,092 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 13,782 13,630 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 10,401 10,249 525 Hardware stores................. 1,213 1,224 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 54,310 57,269 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 51,211 54,167 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,099 3,102 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 12,712 12,539 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 5,948 5,879 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 5,754 5,636 5722 Household appliance stores.... (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 134,524 133,786 53 General merchandise group stores.. 29,159 29,252 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 22,961 23,021 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 23,466 23,437 533 Variety stores.................. 936 937 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,262 5,294 54 Food stores....................... 36,653 36,496 541 Grocery stores.................. 34,670 34,518 554 Gasoline service stations......... 13,740 13,554 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,711 10,564 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 929 927 562,3 Women's clothing, specialty stores........................ 2,909 2,828 565 Family clothing stores.......... (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,788 1,753 58 Eating and drinking places........ 22,099 22,158 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 8,912 8,811 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,058 2,038 5961 Total mail order................... 6,234 5,929 53,56,57, GAF................................ 60,791 60,676 594 * Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. NA Not available. r Revised. TABLE 1B: ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--JULY 1999 Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of Dollars) 1999 SIC Kind of business code July June May adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 254,116 252,321 254,372 Total (excl. auto dealers) 187,496 184,605 188,266 Durable goods, total........ 109,528 110,969 109,416 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 16,905 17,518 17,916 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 13,002 12,853 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,422 1,494 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 66,620 67,716 66,106 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 63,203 64,296 62,798 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) 54,715 53,263 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,420 3,308 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,266 12,942 12,631 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,187 6,053 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 5,842 5,655 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) 1,056 910 Nondurable goods, total..... 144,588 141,352 144,956 53 General merchandise group stores.. 29,843 30,135 31,241 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 22,972 23,298 24,411 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 23,825 24,895 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,085 1,109 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 5,752 5,721 54 Food stores....................... 40,233 38,155 39,260 541 Grocery stores.................. 38,174 36,150 37,189 554 Gasoline service stations......... 15,591 15,137 15,068 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,887 10,601 11,200 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 941 940 562,3 Women's clothing, specialty stores........................ (*) 2,952 3,237 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) 4,046 4,233 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,795 1,879 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,088 24,216 24,759 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,773 9,773 9,869 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,234 2,288 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 6,494 6,283 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 61,537 62,886 594 1998 SIC Kind of business code July June Retail trade, total........... 232,611 234,836 Total (excl. auto dealers) 174,451 171,532 Durable goods, total........ 98,245 103,681 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,448 16,028 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 11,784 11,827 525 Hardware stores................. 1,316 1,384 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 58,160 63,304 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 54,745 59,963 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... 46,590 51,643 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,415 3,341 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 12,413 11,986 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 5,978 5,797 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 5,547 5,281 5722 Household appliance stores.... 1,030 991 Nondurable goods, total..... 134,366 131,155 53 General merchandise group stores.. 27,217 27,639 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 21,193 21,502 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 21,633 21,960 533 Variety stores.................. 899 869 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,125 5,268 54 Food stores....................... 38,293 36,198 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,300 34,242 554 Gasoline service stations......... 14,716 14,313 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,119 9,844 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 812 868 562,3 Women's clothing, specialty stores........................ 2,668 2,712 565 Family clothing stores.......... 3,986 3,729 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,793 1,744 58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,314 22,734 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 8,743 8,652 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,177 2,028 5961 Total mail order................... 5,517 5,354 53,56,57, GAF................................ 57,088 57,058 594 * Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. NA Not available. r Revised. TABLE 2: PERCENT CHANGE IN ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--JULY 1999 Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) July June 1999 1999 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business June July May June CODE 1999 1998 1999 1998 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... +0.7 +9.1 -0.2 +7.4 Total (excl. auto dealers) +0.3 +7.1 +0.1 +7.5 Durable goods, total........ +1.6 +11.8 -0.9 +7.1 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. +1.0 +9.7 -1.6 +9.8 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ +2.3 +15.3 -0.8 +6.9 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. +2.5 +16.2 -0.8 +7.2 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 0.0 +6.6 +0.6 +8.1 Nondurable goods, total..... +0.2 +7.2 +0.4 +7.6 53 General merchandise group stores.. +1.0 +9.3 +0.6 +7.9 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +0.7 +8.4 +0.6 +7.3 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +0.6 +7.3 54 Food stores....................... +0.1 +4.4 -0.1 +4.8 541 Grocery stores.................. 0.0 +4.5 0.0 +4.9 554 Gasoline service stations......... +1.2 +5.9 -0.5 +6.1 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... -0.4 +6.1 -0.4 +8.0 58 Eating and drinking places........ -0.4 +6.5 +0.2 +6.6 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 0.0 +12.0 +1.8 +13.3 Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) July June 1999 1999 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business June July May June CODE 1999 1998 1999 1998 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... +0.7 +9.2 -0.8 +7.4 Total (excl. auto dealers) +1.6 +7.5 -1.9 +7.6 Durable goods, total........ -1.3 +11.5 +1.4 +7.0 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. -3.5 +9.4 -2.2 +9.3 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -1.6 +14.5 +2.4 +7.0 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -1.7 +15.4 +2.4 +7.2 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. +2.5 +6.9 +2.5 +8.0 Nondurable goods, total..... +2.3 +7.6 -2.5 +7.8 53 General merchandise group stores.. -1.0 +9.6 -3.5 +9.0 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). -1.4 +8.4 -4.6 +8.4 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) -4.3 +8.5 54 Food stores....................... +5.4 +5.1 -2.8 +5.4 541 Grocery stores.................. +5.6 +5.2 -2.8 +5.6 554 Gasoline service stations......... +3.0 +5.9 +0.5 +5.8 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +2.7 +7.6 -5.3 +7.7 58 Eating and drinking places........ +3.6 +7.6 -2.2 +6.5 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 0.0 +11.8 -1.0 +13.0 NA Not available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Retail Sales--JULY 1999 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Ronald Piencykoski (301) 457-2713/2666.